Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 102.329628 116.188408 131.453722 149.552342 170.471684 193.946756 222.362203
2026-01-11 81.497877 99.403646 120.759034 148.246111 182.888268 225.361245 281.780767
2026-01-18 71.034495 91.198493 116.666511 151.479707 198.268468 259.596892 347.090910
2026-01-25 62.412689 83.442675 111.243202 151.128408 207.611403 285.831285 404.273141
2026-02-01 56.440523 78.127691 107.945946 152.565828 218.724814 314.927149 468.606387
2026-02-08 50.488712 71.993686 102.574085 150.030220 223.268892 334.435302 520.667610
2026-02-15 46.566726 68.248299 100.058715 151.132250 232.983567 362.391293 589.299358
2026-02-22 43.406493 65.243077 98.218957 152.865355 243.590794 392.652063 665.624203
2026-03-01 39.472632 60.639872 93.415445 149.250927 244.872226 407.415333 716.841840
2026-03-08 36.216385 56.781522 89.379022 146.372034 246.882323 423.359933 772.041415
2026-03-15 33.682193 53.845952 86.532586 145.129707 251.450054 444.118664 838.957699
2026-03-22 32.494324 53.006049 87.041981 149.675808 266.770444 486.174589 953.671576
2026-03-29 30.795363 51.352347 86.345290 152.620684 280.692160 529.766938 1084.242297
2026-04-05 28.544404 48.570651 83.471296 151.358586 286.655465 559.142094 1191.423459
2026-04-12 27.210242 47.267672 83.076221 154.672826 302.005709 609.772771 1355.841534
2026-04-19 25.508642 45.135239 80.937844 154.313570 309.739163 645.377824 1492.309658
2026-04-26 24.209787 43.622648 79.798672 155.784828 321.465220 691.416327 1663.723883
2026-05-03 22.550015 41.282501 76.849073 153.189590 323.960423 716.803670 1787.704452
2026-05-10 21.463586 39.948850 75.737335 154.317522 334.907417 763.662470 1978.995044
2026-05-17 20.535539 38.843799 74.972873 156.091407 347.555611 816.626034 2199.306537
2026-05-24 19.139473 36.692184 71.885493 152.391994 346.720012 835.605537 2325.518659
2026-05-31 17.934622 34.835872 69.254398 149.445580 347.341046 858.469488 2468.845993
2026-06-07 16.979197 33.420197 67.433776 148.174163 351.979845 892.789113 2656.312699